Box-Office Wrap-Up: Feb. 11 – Feb. 13, 2011

Laremy is loving it at the moment as his pick of Just Go With It at #1 is holding on by a thread over the Bieber pic and it will be a nervous 24 hours until actuals come in. But until then, Laremy can bask in the glory of having his sixth straight correct pick of the weekend’s #1 movie.
Laremy predicted the #1 movie correctly 6 Weeks In A Row
Man, I’m sorry Biebs, not even having 2,422 more theaters was enough to help you beat Miley Cyrus’s Hannah Montana/Miley Cyrus: Best of Both Worlds Concert Tour $31.1 million opening. However, the Jonas brothers have nothing on you. Cyrus, though, is probably still shaking in her boots as you came close to her number and at only $0.9 million away you could still beat it. But I have a feeling if you did beat it Paramount would have upped their estimate. We’ll have to wait until Monday afternoon to know for sure.

On the user prediction side of things, how about a big round of applause for Chuck Bartowski and an absolute spot-on $30.2 million prediction! Huzzah!

Result: $30.2 million

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #2 with $25.5 million, which is $4.7m off for a 15.56% error.
Rather impressive result for Gnomeo eh? Laremy was way off with his $13.5 million, but I have a feeling much of that prediction had to do with the fact both he and I weren’t all that impressed with it. The film, however, will likely play very well with young audiences.

I don’t have a budget number for this flick, but the many years in development probably inflated that price tag. However, as the only animated film in the marketplace until Rango is released on March 4, this may have some decent legs.

John PT gets his second crown of the week for his $24.6 million prediction. Maybe he can teach Laremy a thing or two about predicting the box-office take of gnome related features.

Result: $25.5 million

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #3 with $13.5 million, which is $12m off for a 47.06% error.
And from $25.5 million we go all the way down to $8.5 million. It’s so depressing I don’t even want to talk about it, but the job tells me I must. The budget is reported to be around $20 million, which is actually an impressive number given the fact the talent involved is name brand talent and the film looks phenomenal. Unfortunately, an additional bit of change could have bought a script rewrite and made this a much better movie.

And on our final new release we have Ian with the closest user prediction at $8 million.

Result: $8.5 million

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #5 with $6.45 million, which is $2.05m off for a 24.12% error.
Down 44% from last weekend we begin the downward spiral to number ten. If any of you saw this feel free to comment below, but I have nothing to add.
Result: $8.4 million

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #4 with $6.9 million, which is $1.5m off for a 17.86% error.
So Russell Brand was on “Saturday Night Live” last night propping this film and Colin Firth up, does that count as an Oscar campaign? The King’s Speech lost 321 theaters this weekend, but only dipped 3.9% and has now amassed $93.8 million. Looks like we’ll soon have yet another $100 million Best Picture nominee on our hands.
Result: $7.4 million

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #6 with $5.78 million, which is $1.62m off for a 21.89% error.
No Strings Attached was made on a $25 million budget and has now made over $59 million. Not too shabby.
Result: $5.6 million

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #7 with $4.26 million, which is $1.34m off for a 23.93% error.
The biggest dipper in the top ten this week goes to Sanctum at a 45% drop. Congrats, here’s your medal.
Result: $5.1 million

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #8 with $4.06 million, which is $1.04m off for a 20.39% error.
$160 million and counting. Yee haw!
Result: $3.7 million

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #9 with $2.97 million, which is $0.73m off for a 19.73% error.
There was talk of a sequel for the longest time and now that the film has made $92 million will that talk increase or decrease? The budget was a reported $120 million, but I’m sure that includes the many years this was in production. I am sure they could scale that back and deliver a sequel for far cheaper and bring home another $100 million or so if they cast the right people as the villains.
Result: $3.6 million

Laremy’s rank: Laremy picked it to finish #10 with $2.95 million, which is $0.65m off for a 18.06% error.

And now we look to next weekend where I am actually quite excited to see both Unknown and I Am Number Four. Without looking at theater counts or tracking I am going with Number Four at the top next weekend, how about you? Any chance Big Mommas: Like Father, Like Son can take that #1 slot? Please say no!

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